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You read it here first: MLS Expansion Draft set for Nov. 25

A storm of off-season change is coming. I just have this feeling that this is going to be a real shape shifter as off-seasons go, with more flux than usual in MLS management and personnel.

Today I learned that this season of significant winter movement will begin on Nov. 25, when manager Peter Nowak and his Philadelphia Union will cherry-pick off 15 MLS rosters. You read that hear first. (Although, in all honesty, expansion drafts are typically held within a few days of the MLS Cup championship.)

The league will announce more details later, but you can expect teams to protect about 11 players each. Clubs will be required to submit their lists of protected players to the League on the Monday after MLS Cup, in all likelihood.

I write a little more about it all on my weekly MLS Five-A-Side column. The shorty version is this: four clubs already are neck-deep in the managerial hunt, and there’s no guarantee that more teams won’t soon be doing the same.  Denis Hamlett is probably on a way-short lease at Chicago, and a loss this weekend might just seal the deal. And, my oh my, has any manager in the history of the world gone from "sure to return" to "uh, let’s don’t set anything in stone just yet," faster than Columbus’ Robert Warzycha?

Star-divide

There are several prominent players who are on the outs or may be. Cuauhtemoc Blanco will dust off all those bad Chicago vibes and head to Mexico at season’s end. Brian McBride may call it a day. Landon Donovan has a big decision to make.

There are others that we already know about who will move on, such as Yura Movsisyan and Chris Rolfe. And there are several formerly rising stars who are fading fast, and they are prime candidates to relocate this off-season. Justin Mapp, we’re lookin’ at you, man.

And those are the known unknowns. What about the unknown unknowns?  There may be some real surprises when it comes to who survives the off-season, as the country’s top-tier league heads into a more competitive time, when as many teams won’t make the playoffs as teams that do. (Finally!)  That’s going to create a pressure point – and it will all start shaking out on Nov. 25 at the expansion draft.

 

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Doesn’t this way of assigning players to Philadelphia seem to screw over the existing MLS clubs slightly? Granted, it’s hard to envision a vastly superior model, but this seems to pull the rug out from under other teams.

"My face is my mask."

by jakeshapiro on Nov 6, 2009 5:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

2011 will be worse

When at least two MLS sides are added, and maybe a 3rd.

That would mean that every team loses at least one player.

But Houston lost two last year (1 expansion draft, 1 via trade) to Seattle, and DeRo and still wins. The key is to limit the turnover and be at least 16 players deep.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Sounder At Heart on Nov 6, 2009 7:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess the bigger question when Portland and Vancouver join will be how to balance out the conferences, since there’ll be an excess of West.

"My face is my mask."

by jakeshapiro on Nov 7, 2009 1:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Also, with you being the Sounders blogger and all, how do you feel about two new teams both in relatively close markets to Seattle?

"My face is my mask."

by jakeshapiro on Nov 7, 2009 1:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm stoked for it

My seatmates and I are already 100% committed to all travel to Vancouver. Portland has that very aggro anti-Sounders thing, so we aren’t certain yet.

The broader Sounders community is more fired up, they traveled ~1000 to a third round Open Cup match in Portland. But to have 2 trips that we can take train/bus/car to visit the opposition is going to be huge for the league. No other team has been as isolated as Seattle, and that will end. I personally look forward to the league having regional derbies like this for EVERY team.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Sounder At Heart on Nov 7, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dynamo Could be much different

Considering the uncertainties of Stuart Holden and Rico Clark (overseas), the expansion draft and the fact that the Dynamo have a ton of senior citizens making $150,000+, we could see a drastically different team come next spring.

by GeoJock on Nov 6, 2009 6:46 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Bold prediction

The Red Bulls leave a player unprotected that the fans would love to see go away.

That player turns out to be a decent player and then the same fans will lament his loss and angrily whine about leaving him open to begin with.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Nov 6, 2009 11:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I’m thinking when vancouver and portland come in then dallas will be moved to the east. It makes the most logical sense. And what’s this that I heard vancouver will not be in the usl for the 2010 season?

by hoopsforlife on Nov 7, 2009 9:25 PM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

You would seperate Dallas and Houston?

That doesn’t make sense with an unbalanced schedule.

I have a feeling 3 Conference will be coming back.

I am not a Supporter
I am not a Fan
I am a Sounder
Sounder At Heart

by Sounder At Heart on Nov 7, 2009 10:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We could always just have one league table instead of two divisions too

by hoopsforlife on Nov 8, 2009 3:03 PM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I don't think they want to go past 30 games

and you can’t have a single table if you’re not going to have each team playing 2 versus each other team.

Formerly ryebreadraz

by Ryan Rosenblatt on Nov 10, 2009 8:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Salaries and the CBA

Doesn’t the lack of a CBA at this point complicate all this? Aren’t which players teams will protect, and who Philly will take in the expansion draft, in part dictated by salaries/salary cap and nationalities/foreign player limits?

Without knowing what the rules are going to be for all this next year, doesn’t this kind of handcuff teams in terms of knowing just what to do?

by PeterJH on Nov 9, 2009 5:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

It does

but I guarantee you that the teams have been getting information from the league on what could possibly happen with the new CBA. I think the expansion draft will give us some clue as to how the negotiations are going.

I think Philadelphia is going to work under the assumption that the current cap will remain, then if it goes up, they will be in the same place as everyone else in having cap space to improve.

Formerly ryebreadraz

by Ryan Rosenblatt on Nov 10, 2009 8:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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